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Certificate of Completion

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THIS ACKNOWLEDGES THAT

HAS COMPLETED THE MAY-SUMMER 2024 DATA SCIENCE BOOT CAMP

Fernando Liu Lopez

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Roman Holowinsky, PhD

JUNE 10, 2024

DIRECTOR

DATE

TEAM

If You’re Single, You’re Probably a Democrat... (and other insights into US demographics and voting inclination)

Fernando Liu Lopez,Arvind Suresh

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Voting behaviors depend, to a significant degree, on news and events leading up to the election; these are often unpredictable and introduce variance that undermines the accuracy of election forecasts. Yet, it is common knowledge that certain demographic characteristics are strong predictors of voting tendencies (e.g., rural areas tend to vote Republican). In this project, we employ machine-learning methods to measure the predictive power of demographic characteristics (race, gender, education, socio-economic status, marital status) in determining voting outcomes, focusing in particular on the US popular presidential vote.

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