Certificate of Completion
THIS ACKNOWLEDGES THAT
HAS COMPLETED THE MAY-SUMMER 2024 DATA SCIENCE BOOT CAMP
Song Gao
Roman Holowinsky, PhD
JUNE 10, 2024
DIRECTOR
DATE
TEAM
Predicting Missed Payments from Credit Card Clients
Song Gao, Juergen Kritschgau
Credit card clients miss payments on their credit card debt for a variety of reasons. Being able to predict missed payments would allow banks, credit raters, and debt collectors to forecast their own operations, target interventions or financial products, and accurately appraise the value of credit card debt. In this project, we attempt to use a client’s payment history over a 6 month and demographic information to predict whether the client will miss a credit card payment next month. We used data obtained from a Kaggle competition page to train different classification models, including logistic regressions, Bayesian models, Support Vector Classifiers, K-nearest neighbor models, and decision trees. We used cross-validation and classification accuracy to compare different classification models. Our primary finding is that no model is able to accurately predict whether or not a client will miss a payment.